Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Motherwell v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 4-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell cruised past Kilmarnock 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.72, about 58%.
By the numbers, possession split 73% to 27% in Motherwell's favour, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.71 to 0.46.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Motherwell against 1.00 for Kilmarnock.
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Motherwell 4 - 0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 64%, draw 21%, Kilmarnock 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.