Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bournemouth v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Bournemouth squeezed past Liverpool 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
A gentle 54% lean on Liverpool didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Bournemouth had 33% of the ball to Liverpool's 67%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.50 to 0.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bournemouth's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bournemouth and 3.00 for Liverpool.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Result & Final Score
Bournemouth 3 - 2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 23%, draw 23%, Liverpool 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.