Colwyn Bay 2-2 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Jan 2026

Colwyn Bay
2-2 HT 0-2
Connahs Quay
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2025/2026

Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
57%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.05
6+ Goals
14%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
57%
Away Win
49%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colwyn Bay v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.89/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.81
+71% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colwyn Bay
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Connahs Quay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.12.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 1-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
10.08.2025 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 1-1 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
29.11.2023 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 2-3 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
26.09.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GAL
12.11.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 2-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
19.02.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-2 HT 0-0 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay GALWK
POST-MATCH Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay and Connahs Quay shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Connahs Quay carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colwyn Bay and 2.00 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay?

Colwyn Bay 2-2 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colwyn Bay vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Colwyn Bay 22%, draw 21%, Connahs Quay 57%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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