Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.21
2-3 Goals
33%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 35% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.72
-29% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Caernarfon Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
25.10.2025 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
20.09.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
13.04.2025 Penybont Penybont 3-1 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
22.02.2025 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
02.11.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-5 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
07.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 2-0 HT 1-0 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penybont
0-0
AWAY Caernarfon Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Caernarfon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont and Caernarfon Town played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Penybont had 45% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 55%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Penybont and 1.33 for Caernarfon Town.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Penybont 0-0 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Penybont 34%, draw 33%, Caernarfon Town 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penybont), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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