Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penybont v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Caernarfon Town saw off Penybont 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Penybont and 1.50 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Penybont 0-2 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penybont vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Penybont 46%, draw 23%, Caernarfon Town 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Penybont), BTTS Yes went the other way.