Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Connahs Quay v Haverfordwest County — Team-Based Signals
Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Haverfordwest County
GAL
1-3
HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
2-1
HT 2-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
Connahs Quay and Haverfordwest County couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Connahs Quay at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.17 for Haverfordwest County.
What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
Connahs Quay 3-3 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Haverfordwest County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 64%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County 15%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.