Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
17%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
20%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
51%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
17%
Away Win
23%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.25/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.25
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -68%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
22.5 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Vukovar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.26 xG 0.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
298 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
01.08.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 1-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR
29.11.2023 Vukovar Vukovar 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-1
AWAY Vukovar
1.57 xG 1.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
275 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb edged past Vukovar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 52% of the ball to Vukovar's 48%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.57 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.67 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 60%, draw 23%, Vukovar 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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