Rijeka 2-2 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
14%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
58%
+7.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.44/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.28
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.3 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 0.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
252 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
03.08.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
29.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIRK
25.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
14.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
29.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-2
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.49 xG 2.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
308 Passes 366
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka and Slaven Belupo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Rijeka carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rijeka had 47% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 53%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.49 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rijeka and 0.67 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Rijeka 2-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 65%, draw 20%, Slaven Belupo 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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