Slaven Belupo 1-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.12
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.0pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 43%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.00/2.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.00
-34% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.58 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.12.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.12.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-4 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
24.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
1-1
AWAY Rijeka
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo and Rijeka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 34% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 55% of the ball to Rijeka's 45%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.17 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Slaven Belupo 1-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 31%, draw 34%, Rijeka 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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