Slaven Belupo 2-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.04
6+ Goals
5%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -11%
0.90/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.03
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.7 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.48 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.12.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-4 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
24.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.05.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-3 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
2-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.93 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
294 Passes 216
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo edged past Rijeka 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Slaven Belupo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 56% of the ball to Rijeka's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.93 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.50 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Slaven Belupo 2-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 31%, draw 29%, Rijeka 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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