Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.33/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.15
-2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.0 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osijek
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-2 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
04.10.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.04.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
10.02.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
28.10.2023 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
13.08.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 4-4 HT 1-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
2-1
AWAY Osijek
1.60 xG 0.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
409 Passes 238
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 nicked a narrow win over Osijek 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Istra 1961 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 59% of the ball to Osijek's 41%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.60 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.83 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs Osijek?

Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 48%, draw 25%, Osijek 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Istra 1961), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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