Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.48/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.2 Crosses 15.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
305 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
29.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.12.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.12.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-4 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.07 xG 0.30
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
136 Passes 411
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of Slaven Belupo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rijeka had 29% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 71%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 1.07 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rijeka and 1.17 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 54%, draw 26%, Slaven Belupo 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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