Osijek 1-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.04/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.99
-17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
24.1 Crosses 15.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-2 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
04.10.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.04.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
10.02.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
28.10.2023 Osijek Osijek 3-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
1-1
AWAY Istra 1961
0.79 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
276 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek and Istra 1961 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osijek had 43% of the ball to Istra 1961's 57%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.79 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osijek and 1.67 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Osijek 1-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated an Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osijek 36%, draw 26%, Istra 1961 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Istra 1961), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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