Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dinamo Zagreb v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Dinamo Zagreb
HIR
Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
Dinamo Zagreb edged past NK Varazdin 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 52% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 48%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.25 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dinamo Zagreb's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.67 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 58%, draw 25%, NK Varazdin 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.