Sibenik 0-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.0pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.1pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-17.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sibenik EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 70%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.78/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.89
-30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.5 Crosses 18.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sibenik
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.59 xG 1.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
316 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
22.12.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
06.10.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-0 HT 2-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.05.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 3-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
24.05.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIRK
01.04.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 2-3 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sibenik
0-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.06 xG 1.45
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
216 Passes 277
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sibenik vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split edged past Sibenik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sibenik had 46% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 54%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sibenik and 2.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Sibenik vs Hajduk Split?

Sibenik 0-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sibenik vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sibenik 23%, draw 29%, Hajduk Split 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5
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