Slaven Belupo 1-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
11%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
0.84/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.03
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.8 Crosses 16.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rijeka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.50 xG 1.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
347 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
29.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIRK
25.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
14.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
29.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.12.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
1-1
AWAY Rijeka
0.97 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
272 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo and Rijeka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 44% of the ball to Rijeka's 56%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.50 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Slaven Belupo 1-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 30%, draw 23%, Rijeka 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rijeka), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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