Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 29% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-1.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.88/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.56
+18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
21.1 Crosses 13.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Osijek
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.06 xG 0.82
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
462 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
12.04.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
26.02.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIRK
02.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 2-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.10.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 HT 1-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-1
AWAY Osijek
0.59 xG 0.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
409 Passes 436
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb edged past Osijek 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 48% of the ball to Osijek's 52%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.59 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.33 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 67%, draw 19%, Osijek 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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