Osijek 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
20%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
56%
Away Win
56%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 60%
+24% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.87
+8% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 83%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
15.3 Crosses 19.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.69
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 445
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
26.02.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIRK
02.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 2-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
27.10.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 HT 1-2 Osijek Osijek HIR
11.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
11.05.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.53 xG 2.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb beat Osijek 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Osijek had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 53%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.53 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osijek and 1.33 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Osijek 0-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Osijek 19%, draw 26%, Dinamo Zagreb 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →