Rijeka 1-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 22%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.39/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.00
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +78%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 0.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 294
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
14.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
29.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.12.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka nicked a narrow win over Slaven Belupo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rijeka had 49% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 51%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rijeka and 0.50 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Rijeka 1-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 46%, draw 25%, Slaven Belupo 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ BTTS No
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