Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.46/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.33
+16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
20.7 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 323
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIRK
25.05.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
14.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIRK
29.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.12.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.10.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
2-0
AWAY Slaven Belupo
2.84 xG 0.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
324 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of Slaven Belupo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rijeka had 48% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 52%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.84 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rijeka and 0.50 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Rijeka 2-0 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 62%, draw 22%, Slaven Belupo 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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