Hajduk Split 2-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.04
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 24%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.43/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
+24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
16.0 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
350 Passes 246
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
15.02.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
09.11.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
25.08.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
12.05.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
02.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-1
AWAY Istra 1961
1.93 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
362 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hajduk Split edged past Istra 1961 2-1 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 3 Aug 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 57% of the ball to Istra 1961's 43%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.93 to 0.72.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Hajduk Split 2-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 51%, draw 24%, Istra 1961 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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