Hajduk Split 1-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
67%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.46/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.65
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
21.3 Crosses 9.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
341 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
12.05.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-1 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
02.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
26.11.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
02.09.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
07.04.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-2 HT 2-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-1
AWAY Istra 1961
1.41 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
410 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Hajduk Split and Istra 1961 shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 9 Nov 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 64% of the ball to Istra 1961's 36%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.62.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Hajduk Split 1-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 56%, draw 27%, Istra 1961 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hajduk Split), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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