HNK Gorica 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 30% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
57%
Away Win
71%
-14.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.82/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.71
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 85%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
13.3 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.51 xG 1.68
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 482
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
28.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 2-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
04.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
21.10.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
05.08.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.56 xG 2.89
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 34
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 13
168 Passes 446
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Box Touches 53
2 Crosses 54
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb
Match summary & frequently asked questions

HNK Gorica and Dinamo Zagreb shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 9 Nov 2024. Half-time: 1-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 40%.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 30% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 70%, shots finished 3-34, expected goals 0.56 to 2.89.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.83 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

HNK Gorica 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 20%, draw 23%, Dinamo Zagreb 57%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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