Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Hajduk Split
HIR
Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
Istra 1961 edged past Hajduk Split 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Hajduk Split at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 50% of the ball to Istra 1961's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 0.69 to 0.86.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.67 for Istra 1961.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
Hajduk Split 0-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 49%, draw 28%, Istra 1961 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hajduk Split) went the other way.