HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Dinamo Zagreb — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica squeezed past Dinamo Zagreb 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 34% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 66%, shots finished 4-20, expected goals 0.49 to 0.98 — on chances, Dinamo Zagreb could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for HNK Gorica and 2.50 for Dinamo Zagreb.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?
HNK Gorica 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 21%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) went the other way.