Rijeka 0-2 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.50/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.61
+21% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.8 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osijek
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 0.72
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
285 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
25.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
19.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
0-2
AWAY Osijek
1.03 xG 2.02
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
432 Passes 165
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek beat Rijeka 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rijeka at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Rijeka had 68% of the ball to Osijek's 32%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.03 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rijeka and 0.50 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Osijek?

Rijeka 0-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 55%, draw 27%, Osijek 18%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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