Rijeka 1-1 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.10
-21% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.1 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Osijek
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 0.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
293 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
19.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
27.05.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-1
AWAY Osijek
0.99 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
282 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka and Osijek couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rijeka had 49% of the ball to Osijek's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.99 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rijeka and 0.67 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Osijek?

Rijeka 1-1 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 45%, draw 27%, Osijek 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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