Osijek 0-2 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 25 Aug 2024

Osijek
0-2 HT 0-1
Rijeka
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

Osijek vs Rijeka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Osijek v Rijeka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.24/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.28
+30% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.0 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Osijek vs Rijeka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 287
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
27.05.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
02.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR

Osijek 0-2 Rijeka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-2
AWAY Rijeka
1.09 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
384 Passes 278
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of Osijek 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rijeka found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Osijek had 56% of the ball to Rijeka's 44%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.09 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osijek and 1.17 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Rijeka?

Osijek 0-2 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Osijek 36%, draw 26%, Rijeka 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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