Osijek 0-2 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 38% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.05/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.12
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.2 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
25.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
19.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.03.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
02.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.09.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-2
AWAY Rijeka
0.81 xG 1.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 15
38 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Osijek vs Rijeka
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Rijeka beat Osijek 2-0 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16 Feb 2025.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, Osijek had 63% of the ball to Rijeka's 37%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.81 to 1.83.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osijek and 1.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Rijeka?

Osijek 0-2 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Osijek 26%, draw 33%, Rijeka 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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