NK Varazdin 0-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.16/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.22
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.8 Crosses 20.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
349 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
24.08.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
26.01.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-2 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.10.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-2 HT 2-2 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
28.07.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
0-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.49 xG 1.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
294 Passes 219
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Slaven Belupo edged past NK Varazdin 1-0 away from home in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16 Feb 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 56% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 44%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.49 to 1.94.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?

NK Varazdin 0-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 44%, draw 27%, Slaven Belupo 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Varazdin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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