Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
17%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.77/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.67
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.7 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.92 xG 0.52
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
474 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
24.08.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
28.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HT 2-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
04.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
21.10.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3-1
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.80 xG 0.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
524 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb got the better of HNK Gorica 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 64% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 36%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 0.80 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 63%, draw 21%, HNK Gorica 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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