Twente 0-0 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.3
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.47
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
21.25
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
4%
20.15
X/X
6%
8.29
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.8
2/2
2%
17.15
2/X
5%
24.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
72%
+3.5pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.7pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.22/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.10
-11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
36.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
23.6 Crosses 13.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Excelsior
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.99 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
445 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Excelsior Excelsior 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
10.02.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 0-3 HT 0-3 Twente Twente HOL
08.12.2023 Twente Twente 4-2 HT 1-2 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
01.04.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 0-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
31.08.2022 Twente Twente 4-0 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
23.12.2017 Excelsior Excelsior 0-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
0-0
AWAY Excelsior
1.35 xG 0.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 5
504 Passes 231
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
53 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente and Excelsior played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Twente carried 76% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Twente had 65% of the ball to Excelsior's 35%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.35 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Twente and 0.50 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Twente vs Excelsior?

Twente 0-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Twente 76%, draw 14%, Excelsior 10%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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