NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 2-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen edged past PEC Zwolle 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 45% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 55%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.39 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 1.33 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
NEC Nijmegen 2-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 61%, draw 24%, PEC Zwolle 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.