Ajax 2-0 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Jan 2026

Ajax
2-0 HT 2-0
Volendam
📅24/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Ajax vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.41
2-3 Goals
34%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.6
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.9
X/1
18%
4.01
X/2
5%
15.95
X/X
8%
8.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.6
2/2
3%
12.5
2/X
5%
21.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.6 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
70%
+0.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.4pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-1.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.59/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.49
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
469 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.9 Crosses 12.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

Ajax vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Volendam
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.03 xG 1.08
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
610 Passes 200
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
54 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
05.05.2024 Volendam Volendam 1-4 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
02.11.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
26.01.2023 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.10.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-4 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
25.09.2013 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOK

Ajax 2-0 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
2-0
AWAY Volendam
3.24 xG 0.41
65% Ball Possession 35%
31 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 0
546 Passes 282
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
59 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax beat Volendam 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax had 65% of the ball to Volendam's 35%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 3.24 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ajax and 1.00 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Volendam?

Ajax 2-0 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Ajax 71%, draw 18%, Volendam 11%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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