Maritimo 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.18
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses 10.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.95 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
183 Passes 102
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 0-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
15.03.2025 Maritimo Maritimo 0-0 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
27.10.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-3 HT 1-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
1-1
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
2.19 xG 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
223 Passes 116
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo and Felgueiras 1932 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maritimo had 55% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 45%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.19 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maritimo and 0.33 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Felgueiras 1932?

Maritimo 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 54%, draw 27%, Felgueiras 1932 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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