AE Larissa 1-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 24 Jan 2026

📅24/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.57
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
20%
4.24
X/2
5%
8.66
X/X
15%
3.88
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
8%
7.68
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
17%
Away Win
21%
-3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.75/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.97
+27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
25.0 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Panserraikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 0.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
391 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-2 HT 0-2 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
12.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
26.09.2024 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
30.01.2011 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.10.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
25.01.2009 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
1-0
AWAY Panserraikos
1.55 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
255 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AE Larissa squeezed past Panserraikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AE Larissa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AE Larissa had 53% of the ball to Panserraikos's 47%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.55 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AE Larissa and 0.83 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Panserraikos?

AE Larissa 1-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 56%, draw 26%, Panserraikos 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AE Larissa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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24 Jan 2026
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