Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asteras Tripolis v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals
Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
AEK Atina
YUN
2-0
HT 1-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
Asteras Tripolis 0-1 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics
AEK Atina edged past Asteras Tripolis 1-0 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 51% of the ball to AEK Atina's 49%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.21 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.67 for AEK Atina.
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina?
Asteras Tripolis 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Atina?
Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 16%, draw 24%, AEK Atina 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.