AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AEK Atina v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals
AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
AEK Atina
YUN
2-0
HT 1-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
1-1
HT 0-0
AEK Atina
YUN
AEK Atina 1-0 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics
AEK Atina nicked a narrow win over Asteras Tripolis 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, AEK Atina had 56% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 44%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.81 to 0.08 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for AEK Atina and 0.50 for Asteras Tripolis.
What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis?
AEK Atina 1-0 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Asteras Tripolis?
Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 74%, draw 17%, Asteras Tripolis 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.