PAOK 1-0 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
7%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.15
X/1
24%
3.74
X/2
6%
14.95
X/X
10%
6.14
2/1
7%
23.2
2/2
5%
13.25
2/X
5%
21.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.77/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.71
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.2 Crosses 10.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Atromitos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.46 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
446 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
01.09.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
04.02.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
22.10.2023 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
28.12.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.08.2022 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
1-0
AWAY Atromitos
2.43 xG 0.02
73% Ball Possession 27%
26 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
571 Passes 171
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 0
32 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK squeezed past Atromitos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PAOK had 73% of the ball to Atromitos's 27%, shots finished 26-1, expected goals 2.43 to 0.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PAOK's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for PAOK and 0.50 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Atromitos?

PAOK 1-0 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split PAOK 62%, draw 22%, Atromitos 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✗ Over 2.5
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