Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 24 Feb 2024

Perth Glory
0-0 HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.1
Over 2.5
63%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
6+ Goals
14%
9.78
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
17%
4.77
X/2
8%
7.48
X/X
7%
5.05
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
5.07
2/X
10%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.5 — our 14% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.59/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.92
+23% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.2 Crosses 15.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
386 Passes 468
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 3-4 HT 1-2 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
28.10.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
28.01.2023 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-2 HT 2-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
23.12.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
13.04.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-1 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix AVUS
26.03.2022 Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington Phoenix — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-0
AWAY Wellington Phoenix
0.51 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
414 Passes 545
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 30
26 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory and Wellington Phoenix played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory had 44% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix's 56%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.51 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Perth Glory and 2.00 for Wellington Phoenix.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington Phoenix in the Australia - A-League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Wellington Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 43%, draw 23%, Wellington Phoenix 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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