Deportivo Cali 3-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.06/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.15
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
17.6 Crosses 13.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
25.08.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
07.08.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 4-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
14.02.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
3-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.09 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
261 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali beat Millonarios 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Deportivo Cali made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 43% of the ball to Millonarios's 57%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Millonarios?

Deportivo Cali 3-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 32%, draw 30%, Millonarios 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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