Cruz Azul vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
2-2
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Queretaro
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-0 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul squeezed past Queretaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 65% of the ball to Queretaro's 35%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.62 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Queretaro?
Cruz Azul 1-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 59%, draw 22%, Queretaro 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.