Santos Laguna 2-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Feb 2025

📅24/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.33/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.36
-7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.9 Crosses 16.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atlas
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.51 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.02.2024 Atlas Atlas 3-0 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.07.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.01.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
01.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
07.02.2022 Atlas Atlas 2-1 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
2-0
AWAY Atlas
1.08 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 234
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna got the better of Atlas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Santos Laguna found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 51% of the ball to Atlas's 49%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Atlas?

Santos Laguna 2-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 24/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 33%, draw 28%, Atlas 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atlas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
24 Feb 2025
04:05 Cruz Azul vs Queretaro Analysis →