Hull City vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hull City v Derby County — Team-Based Signals
Hull City vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hull City 4-2 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics
Hull City put daylight between themselves and Derby County 4-2. It stood 2-2 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Hull City made the difference. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, possession split 50% to 50% in Hull City's favour, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.59 to 3.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Derby County.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derby County led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Hull City against 1.50 for Derby County.
Hull City vs Derby County Result & Final Score
Hull City 4 - 2 Derby County in the England - Championship on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hull City vs Derby County Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hull City 39%, draw 29%, Derby County 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hull City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.