Gil Vicente U23 5-3 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Feb 2026

📅24/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.96/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.58
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2026 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-3 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
5-3
AWAY Portimonense U23
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 got the better of Portimonense U23 5-3. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 60% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 40%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Gil Vicente U23 5-3 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 53%, draw 25%, Portimonense U23 22%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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