Farense U23 1-0 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Feb 2026

📅24/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
54%
+7.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.8pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.96/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.00
-45% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY União de Leiria U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2025 União de Leiria U23 0-1 Farense U23 Farense U23 UŞGB
30.09.2025 Farense U23 Farense U23 0-1 União de Leiria U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-0
AWAY União de Leiria U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past União de Leiria U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farense U23 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farense U23 had 56% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 44%, shots finished 11-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Farense U23 and 0.50 for União de Leiria U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Farense U23 1-0 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 61%, draw 19%, União de Leiria U23 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farense U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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