Rio Ave U23 3-2 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 24 Feb 2026

📅24/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.81/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.10
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Vizela U23
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2026 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
06.11.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
09.09.2025 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
03.12.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 2-2 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 UŞGA
09.10.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 1-2 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
3-2
AWAY Vizela U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 squeezed past Vizela U23 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 55% of the ball to Vizela U23's 45%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.40 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Vizela U23?

Rio Ave U23 3-2 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 45%, draw 22%, Vizela U23 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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