Penya Independent 1-0 Manresa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Independent EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Manresa EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.46/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.60
+24% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Independent
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Manresa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Manresa Manresa 1-1 HT 0-0 Penya Independent İS4
POST-MATCH Penya Independent vs Manresa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Independent squeezed past Manresa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Penya Independent made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Penya Independent vs Manresa?

Penya Independent 1-0 Manresa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Independent vs Manresa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Independent win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Penya Independent 40%, draw 27%, Manresa 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Independent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Penya Independent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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