Union Adarve 2-0 Illescas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Illescas EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.74/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.65
+39% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +82%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Adarve
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Illescas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Illescas 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Adarve
2-0
AWAY Illescas
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Adarve vs Illescas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Adarve saw off Illescas 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Adarve as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Union Adarve had 46% of the ball to Illescas's 54%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Union Adarve vs Illescas?

Union Adarve 2-0 Illescas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Adarve vs Illescas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Adarve win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Adarve 46%, draw 24%, Illescas 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Adarve), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Adarve) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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