Lavagnese 2-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lavagnese The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lavagnese
2-1
AWAY Alcione
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Lavagnese vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lavagnese edged past Alcione 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lavagnese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lavagnese had 34% of the ball to Alcione's 66%, shots finished 3-14.

What was the final score of Lavagnese vs Alcione?

Lavagnese 2-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie D on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lavagnese vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lavagnese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lavagnese 39%, draw 28%, Alcione 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lavagnese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lavagnese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
24 Mar 2024
16:30 Casarano vs Paganese Analysis →
16:30 Poggibonsi vs Tau Altopascio Analysis →
16:30 Clodiense vs Mori Santo Stefano Analysis →
16:30 Cjarlins Muzane vs Campodarsego Analysis →
17:00 Gravina vs Barletta Analysis →
17:00 Gladiator vs Anziolavinio Analysis →